OBAMA Will Win Decisively

The National Popular Vote v. The Electoral College Vote: President Obama will win the Electoral College Vote counts and the National Popular Vote counts decisively for a clean victory and a clear mandate based on the facts on the ground. That is my call.

As the November 6, US Presidential election draws near, the talk in the Beltway, especially among the political strategists and celebrity pundits, is the likelihood of President Obama winning the Electoral College Vote, without winning the National Popular Vote. Going by current development at both the 'Battle Ground States' and the 'not so highly contested States,' there is no fact on the ground to support that scenario ever occurring. To put it succinctly, it won’t come to that – President Obama will win the Electoral College Vote and the National Popular Vote counts decisively. I will explain.

President Obama will win Ohio, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota with a clear margin to give him a decisive win of the Electoral College Vote. Adding to that, New Hampshire will likely go the same way to boost the Electoral College Vote for Mr. President. However, I am not so sure about Florida and North Carolina. Nevertheless, it is not conclusive that Mr. Romney will carry Florida and North Carolina, because the situation there is fluid. Even if miracle happens and Governor Romney emerges as the winner in Florida, which is still very unlikely - the difference in the total vote counts will be very insignificant to boost his Popular Vote counts. In similar vein, North Carolina, although a highly populated State, may go either way. Even if it goes to Mr. Romney, that won’t be enough to tilt the balance of popular vote counts in favor of the Governor.

Finally, there is no doubt, Governor Romney will win in Texas and Georgia. But President Obama is carrying California, New York, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Illinois and Ohio – six of the ten most populous States in the Union, including New Jersey - to give him and an edge in the Popular vote counts. Though I sound biased in favor of the President, but the facts do not support the possibility of a tie or recount in any of the States to warrant stalemate or litigated victory. From all indications, President Obama will win decisively in most of the highly contested States and in the densely populated Cities to garner sufficient votes to meet the Electoral College requirement as well as the National Popular mandate. Therefore, the talk of Mr. President, winning the Electoral College Vote, without winning the National Popular Vote is premature and should be put on hold for another time. That is my call. And may God be with us all and secure victory for President Obama. Amen. See you on Election Night.